8am advisory…
Dolly strengthening. NOAA planes are flying the storm right now. The storm has slowed down, and is up to 65 MPH sustained winds (74 MPH qualifies a hurricane)
…DOLLY A LITTLE STRONGER…NOAA PLANE IN THE AREA…A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O’CONNOR. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO
NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PORT O’CONNOR TO
SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 AM CDT…1200Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 265
MILES…425 KM…SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY HAS SLOWED DOWN A LITTLE AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH…20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD
CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FURTHER DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED…FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK…THE
CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
DATA FROM FROM A NOAA PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST…AND DOLLY IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WAS 993 MB…29.32 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES…WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES…OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION…23.7 N…94.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Hey Janice..
I hope it fizzles out and doesn’t hit land…I am sure they need the rain just like alot of the country..but no body needs a hurricane!!
Speaking of rain..my area is in desperate need of it..it drizzled alittle yesterday..but that’s it..the wind was very gusty and was blowing stuff everywhere..but no moisture.. It is 93 now and the temp is rising as we/I speak..it is going to be a skorcher!! (mis spelled).
I hope the ppl of Texas take cover..and all is safe.
Thanks for the update JD..have a great day..:)
Deb
Hey JD & everyone, lets hope indeed those folks in Texes and within the surrounding areas take shelter and get through Dolly, im sorry if my pigeon story grossed out anybody, i just it was a funny thing that happened to me, i think with all the sad news of late , what with little Caylee Antony going missing in Orlando, our troops, Tony snow passing, and these awful hurricanes, and our own personal struggles, sometimes we need to just laugh out loud at the stupid but goofy stories we have to share hoping it makes somebody else out there chuckle, no pigeons today, just very hot all this week up to at least 72, whatever our weather is ,we must not complain, or blame the weather machine, or pigeons!, have a great day Janice, and to everyone here, especially Brad,
Love Richard, LONDON U.K
The bouncing up and down of oil and stock market as this weather saped itself was about the nuttiest thing I have seen in years. Cat 4 and 5 hurricanes have sailed through this area for years and have NEVER affected the market as much as they do now. I guess a little less overcasting on the forecast may well be in order. All of us realize that the folks wont move unless they get scared by overstatements made by officials or weather persons. But these days it seems possible for a simple weather forcast to bring the Billion dollar bettors to their knees. I suggest that perhaps weather forecasters temper their forecasts and make them as really accurate as possible, rather than overstating or raising more fear than is needed. Sensationalism is not needed nowadays.
Of course getting some oil holes drilled somewhere other than in Hurricane territory might be advisable. Not that any democrat will hear that one!
Hey William,
It is because weather forecasters warn people well in advance of hurricanes that lives are saved. It’s the smart people who heed those warnings and do something about it. Meteorology is not an exact science but it has come a long way over the years. Look at the poor people in Galveston all those years ago who didn’t have clue what was about to hit them. Thousands of people died. Today people know well in advance and can get out of the way. Even a category one storm can kill people. The winds might not blow buildings down, but there is a ton of rain and storm surge that can drown people, and they also spawn tornadoes. I think it was just last year when one of the hurricanes hit Florida as a category 1 and too many people took it lightly and because of that, some died. If I lived in hurricane country I would much rather know what all the possibilities are than to be ignorant. If people choose to ignore the warning, then it’s their own fault. And…oil speculators certainly don’t meteorologists to jack up the price of oil. Their shady tactics can handle that on their own.
I, for one, appreciate all meteorologists and our very own Janice Dean especially. So be thankful that meteorology has progressed to where it is today.
Margie
While I feel we should all pay attention to weather warnings, I also am sometimes uncomfortable when an event is overhyped. Dolly may be a pretty good storm when she hits land, but Cat 1 (barely) is usually not a storm to get in a frenzy about. Oil speculators have already started taking advantage of this smaller storm/hurricane for their purposes–even though the vast majority of the oil rigs are much farther up in the Gulf. This one shouldn’t be causing a rise in oil prices. My daughter-in-law’s dad and brother are both presently on oil rigs in the Gulf. They have not been called back into port. We are not worried about them being on the rigs, since they’ll be brought in if the danger is there. The best thing to do is always keep a weather eye and to use common sense. Hopefully, Dolly will bring much needed rain to Texas and cool things down.
We’re under a heat advisory here after two 99 degree days and then a 101 day. That doesn’t beat the record high, but it’s getting pretty close. Sure wish Dolly would bring some rain to our area, but it looks like she’ll head too far west.
Well put Gwen! We’re tracking all the shipping in and out of the Gulf along with the rigs and LOOP situation. No reason to put any flags up yet. Most shipping is behind the storm or well off to the Northeast. Any ship that could has put out to sea or will ride it out in port. Mariners are always pretty far ahead of the official forecasts.
Hey Gwen,
With you being in Mississippi, you certainly don’t need to worry about Dolly since she’s so far away, but it looks like the storm is so big that the outer bands extend that far. Depending on where you are in MS, you may get a little rain. It probably won’t be enough to take care of any drought conditions, but maybe it will cool things off a little. I hope so!
Take care,
Margie
Here is an article about Hurricane Dolly, you all might be interested in:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080723/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather